ilmscore | US Federal Reserve Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 30
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 22
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Federal Reserve is predicted to adopt a dovish stance and cut interest rates to 2.5%.
"We're going to get a doubish Fed share. They're going to cut rates down to 2.5%."
Dec 17, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that Donald Trump's chosen candidate will become the next Fed chair, with current Fed chair Powell expected to leave in May 2026.
"he's going to be the next Fed chair anyways. So, um yeah, he's saying right now that he's going to b..."
Dec 8, 2025
Pending
Predicted that a new Fed Chair, appointed by Trump, will be in place by May 2026 and will champion lower interest rates.
"I think it was what May we should be able to see new Fed chair coming through and and we do that it'..."
Dec 5, 2025
Pending
The FOMC meeting on October 29th is expected to result in a rate cut.
"October 29th, That's Wednesday. That, my friends, is we got Mr. Powell over there representing. Oh, ..."
Oct 27, 2025
Correct
A weaker-than-expected job market significantly alters the economic outlook and Fed policy considerations.
"If the job market is way weaker than we thought, well, that changes everything."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve operates under a dual mandate: controlling inflation and promoting maximum employment.
"The Fed has a dual mandate meaning they've got two goals to keep inflation under control and to supp..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve relies on job numbers to inform decisions regarding interest rates and the cost of borrowing.
"The Fed uses these job numbers to decide what to do with interest rates, how expensive it is for us ..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
A dissenting Fed governor predicted that anticipated revisions would reveal significantly lower job growth than currently estimated.
"One of them said that once the expected revisions come in, job growth will be a lot smaller than we ..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
In the July meeting, Fed Governors Waller and Bowman dissented from the majority, advocating for a rate cut due to perceived stress in the labor market.
"At their July meeting, there were two Fed governors, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, and the..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve previously cited a strong labor market as a reason against cutting interest rates.
"The Federal Reserve has been telling us that the labor market is too strong to justify cutting rates..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve previously stated that the unemployment rate was low and the labor market was at or near maximum employment.
"The unemployment rate remains low and the labor market is at or near maximum employment."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
Markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, which could be bullish for risk assets.
"markets are pretty much pricing in the certaint 85% chance for Fed another 25 basis points cut in De..."
Dec 9, 2024
Pending
Another FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting is scheduled for the 18th.
"another fomc meeting that's on the 18th"
Dec 9, 2024
Pending
The US Federal Reserve is not close to recommending or adopting any form of central bank digital currency.
"we're nowhere near recommending or let alone uh adopting a central bank digital currency in any form"
Jun 17, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to maintain artificially low interest rates, which are considered too low given accelerating inflation.
"I think the FED is ultimately going to keep rates artificially low and I think they're still too low..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is in a self-created predicament, as its prolonged period of low interest rates has led to widespread debt accumulation.
"the FED is kind of trapped between a rock and a hard place that that it created because the reason e..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is perceived as not genuinely fighting inflation, but merely pretending to do so, evidenced by its past actions of lowering interest rates to zero.
"the FED is not not really fighting inflation I mean it's a half-ass job at best it's pretending that..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve's actions suggest it is not truly combating inflation, as evidenced by the premature cessation of rate hikes and indications of future rate cuts while rates remain too low.
"the FED has not really been fighting I it's pretending to fight and if it really was fighting inflat..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to continue creating inflation rather than fighting it, while publicly maintaining the pretense of inflation control.
"the FED is not going to fight inflation it's going to continue to create inflation but it can't be h..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is implicated in the financial crisis, likening its role to a bartender serving drinks to a "drunk" Wall Street.
"Wall Street was drunk but don't forget who the bartender was right the Federal Reserve was serving u..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will likely resort to printing more money to buy bonds, preventing interest rates from skyrocketing but causing hyperinflation.
"either interest rate Skyrocket or inflation skyrockets because the Federal Reserve prevents rates fr..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Two consecutive months of higher-than-expected US CPI figures could signal a resurgence of inflation, increasing the likelihood of the Federal Reserve resuming interest rate hikes.
"two months of higher than expected CPI could be interpreted by investors to mean that a second wave ..."
Nov 13, 2023
Pending
Policymakers believe a tight labor market will drive up wages and subsequently prices.
"policy makers feel that a tight labor market will continue to put upward pressure on wages which wil..."
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
Strong job numbers are seen as negative for the Federal Reserve, as they aim to increase unemployment.
"when you have strong job numbers that's bad news for the Federal Reserve Bank because the Federal Re..."
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve desires higher unemployment.
"the Federal Reserve Bank wants more unemployment"
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve remains committed to maintaining high interest rates and may consider another rate hike before the end of the year (2023).
"the F Reserve Bank is still adamant on keeping interest rates high and potentially raising interest ..."
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve will face a decision between prioritizing inflation control or addressing the slowing economy.
"the Federal Reserve Bank will have to make a decision do you continue to fight inflation or do you f..."
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve's primary focus is currently on combating inflation.
"the number one focus is inflation"
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
Strong job growth could lead the Federal Reserve to take more aggressive action.
"even though we're seeing a growth in jobs that could make the federal reserve banks fight even stron..."
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
The US plans to introduce a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).
"America just this year already said they're going to come out with a cbdc with Central Bank digital ..."
Sep 6, 2023
Pending